Bitcoin Price correlates with the S&P500

0
2011
bitcoin store of value

Most markets have crashed since the corona outbreak has affected Europe and the US. Many people see the crash in Bitcoin and Gold as clear evidence that those types of cash are no safe havens. When general markets crash, Gold usually goes down.

The simple logic that markets go down because people don´t like the asset, does not apply. Many people or bots trade options on the price or the volatility of an asset. They don´t physically hold any Gold or Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Price correlates with the S&P500

When there are lots of leveraged short positions and the stock market suddenly correlates with the Bitcoin market in an upward trend, those positions get liquidated and the price pumps. So the price does not pump because people are bullish and it does not drop because people are bearish and suddenly think Bitcoin is a bad store of value.

When there are lots of long-positions and when due to a stock-market crash the S&P500 suddenly starts to correlate with Bitcoin…well, then of course the price of Bitcoin will also crash. Leveraged options are like bombs, they can blowup and pull down the whole market without a single person thinking “hmm, today I should sell Bitcoin, because orange coin bad”. This is NOT how it works!

Bitcoin Price correlates with the S&P500
60:40 long to short ratio. When lots of shorts blow up –> price increases. When lots of longs blowup –> price drops. It is not about bears and bulls. Check the ratio on Datamish.com
Bitcoin Price correlates with the S&P500
When stock markets open and suddenly plunge, then even Bitcoin start to correlate with the S&P-500
Bitcoin Price correlates with the S&P500
sudden rise in positive correlation of BTC and S&P-500. Check out correlation data on coinmetrics.io

Bitcoin and Gold are still what they are. One BTC is one BTC and one ounce of Gold is one ounce of Gold.